In a repeat of 2018, Democrats lead Republicans in 4 of 6 of the most hotly contested races for governor.

Matthew C. Woodruff

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Predicted Gov. Races(via future fandom)

In the 2018 midterms, Democrats gained control of seven additional governorships from Republicans. The 2022 mid-terms look as if they are headed the same way with Democratic contenders leading in the polls in Arizona, Colorado, Connecticut, and Michigan and close in Florida and Georgia. Wins in these states will give Democrats control of three additional (Arizona, Georgia, Florida) governorships, tying the two party’s at 25 – 25 if no other changes transpire.

In Arizona, Democrat Katie Hobbs averages a statistical dead heat with Republican contender Kari Lake, according to 270toWin.com. A win here would give Democrats an additional governorship as the incumbent Republican is not running due to term limits. Polls from FiveThirtyEight.com show Hobbs with a slight lead.

In Georgia in a re-match between Republican incumbent Brian Kemp and Democrat Stacey Abrams some polls show one or the other in the lead. The latest polling average in the race compiled by FiveThirtyEight shows Kemp with 50.4 percent of voters backing him, while 45.1 percent support his opponent. That is a 5-point lead that Kemp has over Abrams.

In the closely watched and hotly contested race in Florida, some polls show Democrat and one-time former Governor Charlie Crist leading or getting perilously close to current Governor DeSantis. And though RealClearPolitics.com was showing a tightening race (DeSantis ahead by less than 5 points), the latest polls are showing DeSantis widening the gap by a couple of points.

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Midterm Enthusiasm(via Politico)

In the last few years, Republicans have been at a general disadvantage, having angered more people than they have pleased by continuing to support Trump’s 2020 stolen election lie, the Jan. 6th coup attempt and by supporting near-total abortion bans. By focusing on political payback and his alarming attempts to cling to power after his 2020 defeat, Mr. Trump appears to have only increased unrest among Republicans.

This anger at the Republicans continuing support of Trump has motivated Independent voters, who may usually sit out a mid-term election, to turn out in force.

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Matthew is a free-lance journalist, and an internationally award-winning author best known for Dark Humor/Lite Horror/Supernatural short stories, as well as an ordained minister who served as a domestic missionary. He is a lover of the unusual, travel, cats and the spark that makes people tick. Matthew is based in Florida, USA.

Gainesville, FL
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