Global Carbon Emissions Returning to Pre-COVID Levels

Gillian Sisley

The window to limit temperature rise at critical threshold of 1.5C is closing fast. 

The COP26 is currently being held in Glasgow, and could make for historic changes to finally save our world from the horrific impacts of global warming.

The COP26 is making promises that may be able to limit global warming to 1.8C. 

These promises couldn’t come at a better time, as global carbon dioxide levels are set to rebound back to the levels they were before COVID, which is an unsettling surprise recently made by scientists.

The ‘pandemic dip’ wasn’t enough to slow down emissions for long.

Due to the pandemic, the amount of planet heating gas is released in 2020 went down by 5.4% because countries were forced to go into lockdown. This was something that was globally celebrated, as the rising heat of our Earth is one of the greatest threats and concerns shared internationally.

However, entering into 2022 shortly, a scientific report by the global carbon project is predicting that CO2 emissions are likely to rise by 4.9% this year.

Our opportunity to limit temperature rise to the critical threshold of 1.5C is quickly slipping away, which makes the urgency of action from environmental summits so incredibly important.

Deals are currently being struck among nations to limit emissions of methane and curb deforestation this week, so the results of such have not yet been reported.

Time is ticking —  and it’s closer than we’d hoped.

The 16th annual Global Carbon Budget report was brought together by 94 authors who analyzed data ranging from forestry to the economy and beyond.

This report, unfortunately, shows that there’s a 50% chance that will reach 1.5C of warming in just 11 years. This also aligns with the findings of a recent urine report that insinuated that we could very well reach that threshold by the early 2030s.

Experts are saying that we still have time before we reach that threshold to turn things around, but reducing emissions by an amount that we did during COVID presents a difficult challenge.

That said, it is still achievable.

China is currently leading in the largest and quickest rise of cot emissions in gigatons, and they are expected to be 5.5% higher in 2021 than they were in 2019. There is also expected to be a rise in India, with 4.4% increase in 2021 in relation to pre-pandemic levels.

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