76ers vs Heat Prediction, Odds, Props and NBA Betting Preview


Folks, there are just four days remaining in the 2020-21 NBA regular season. Yes, you can count them on one hand! Thursday evening provides us with a full nine-game slate with plenty of intriguing matchups. The first of two games on national television pits a pair of Eastern Conference Playoff-bound teams against one another as the Philadelphia 76ers travel to South Beach to take on the Miami Heat. The NBA betting odds have given the home team a slight edge as their pre-game 76ers vs Heat prediction.

76ers vs Heat Game Info

Philadelphia 76ers (47-22, 20-15 Away) at Miami Heat (38-31, 20-15 Home)
Thursday, May 13, 2021
Start Time: 7:30 p.m. EST
Venue: AmericanAirlines Arena — Miami, FL
Coverage: TNT

Credit: Miami Herald

76ers vs Heat NBA Betting Odds

Moneyline: PHI: (+125) | MIA: (-145)
Spread: PHI: +2.5 (-110) | MIA: -2.5 (-110)
Total: 218 — Over: (-105) | Under: (-115)

76ers vs Heat NBA Betting Overview

76ers Outlook

The 76ers have managed to fend off the loaded Brooklyn Nets and hang onto the top spot in the Eastern Conference down the stretch of the NBA betting season. Although they don’t have it officially wrapped up just yet, a 1.5-game lead with just four days remaining leaves them in pretty good shape. Philadelphia will undoubtedly want to ensure homecourt advantage throughout the postseason given their home-road splits. The Sixers are 20 games to the good at home this season but just five over .500 away from the Wells Fargo Center.

Unfortunately, the 76ers may be left trying to clinch home-court without their best player tonight. Joel Embiid is officially questionable to play in tonight’s 76ers vs Heat matchup with an illness. Several of Philly’s depth pieces are also on the injury report. Tobias Harris led the charge with 27 points in the team’s last game, a road loss to the Indiana Pacers. Points don’t come easily against the Heat, so Harris and Ben Simmons will be heavily relied upon if Embiid does indeed sit out.

76ers Injury Report

  • Questionable: Joel Embiid (illness), Matisse Thybulle (hand)
  • Probable: Furkan Korkmaz (ankle), Shake Milton (knee)

Heat Outlook

The reigning Eastern Conference champions find themselves in a heated battle for a top-4 seed in this year’s playoffs. Miami enters tonight’s game having won three straight. Thanks to the Boston Celtics losing last night, the Heat now know that they will finish above the cutoff for the new NBA Play-In Tournament . Of course, the right to host a first-round series would also be huge, and Miami needs a win tonight to keep pace with the Atlanta Hawks for the 4-seed.

The Heat have battled injuries all season and got some devastating news this week when it was announced trade acquisition Victor Oladipo would need season-ending quad surgery. While the reinforcement they thought they would be getting down the stretch is no longer coming, Miami remains extremely deep and talented. In Tuesday’s win over Boston, Tyler Herro, Bam Adebayo and Duncan Robinson all eclipsed the 20-point threshold for scoring to lead the charge offensively. Of course, missing from that list is Jimmy Butler, who continues to impact games in far more ways than one. Butler’s season averages include 21.5 points, 7.2 assists and 6.9 rebounds on a per-game basis. Don’t count the Heat out with a player of his ilk as their leader.

Heat Injury Report

  • Out: Victor Oladipo (quad surgery)
  • Questionable: Jimmy Butler (eye)
  • 76ers 2020-21 Betting Trends: 36-20-3 ATS; 32-37 to the Over
  • Heat 2020-21 Betting Trends: 32-35-2 ATS; 37-32 to the Over
  • Heat are 5-1-1 ATS in their last seven games.
  • Under is 5-1 in the 76ers last six road games against teams with a winning record at home.
  • The total has gone over in each of the last five 76ers vs Heat head-to-head meetings.

76ers vs Heat Statistics

  • Philadelphia is averaging 113.6 points per game (PPG) this season (Tied for No. 12 in the NBA)
  • Philadelphia is surrendering 108.1 PPG on the season (Tied for No. 5 in the NBA)
  • Miami is averaging 107.9 PPG this season (No. 25 in the NBA)
  • Miami is surrendering 108.1 PPG (TIed for No. 5 in the NBA)

76ers vs Heat Prop Bet

First Quarter Spread: 76ers +0.5 (-115)

When it comes to comparing first-quarter stats for tonight’s 76ers vs Heat prediction, Philadelphia appears to have some value catching half a point. On the season, the Sixers are tied for sixth in first-quarter points per game (29.6). They also are tied for first in the NBA in points allowed over the first 12 minutes of games (25.9). Both marks are better than those of the Heat, which makes for a curious line that favors Miami out of the gates in tonight’s game.

The NBA betting odds are clearly assuming that Joel Embiid will not play for the 76ers tonight. Even so, Tobias Harris and Ben Simmons are two players that will give the Heat defenders plenty of trouble. Without Embiid, one could also argue that defense becomes even more important to the Sixers. A win tonight clinches the top seed in the East, so they’ll show up with or without their star center. Roll with the 76ers as first-quarter underdogs.

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