Should Republicans Get Rid of the Electoral College?

Edward Matthews

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The answer is: Yes

Since the 2000 election, Republicans have won the presidency 3 times. However, only once did they win the popular vote (Bush in 2004). This means that for 8 of 12 years that a Republican president has served, they did not actually get the vote of more Americans.

Or to put it another way, the majority of Americans only voted for the GOP in 1 out of the last 6 elections, yet a Republican has been in office for 3 out of 6 opportunities.

To many outsiders, this seems absurd, probably because it is.

Mention getting rid of the Electoral College to a crowd of people and you are guaranteed to get an education the situation from a 30 some-thing Libertarian or Republican who took a political science course in Junior College. He will mention state's rights and how it ensures that you know, the majority doesn’t control the small states.

Or something like that.

But this article isn't about the merits of the Electoral College, this article is about how if the GOP wants to win in the future, they need to kill the EC. Now, like right now, because they are in trouble.

But why?

The answer is, well, complicated.

But let's start with a historical example, the state of Colorado (my home). Growing up Colorado was DEEP red, prior to Obama, the only Democrat to win at Mile High since the ’60s was Clinton in ’92. But Obama was able to swing my home state from red, to blue, just touching purple for a moment.

And the 2020 election in Colorado? It wasn’t close, and the GOP lost a senator too. In the next election, CO will be getting 10 EC votes instead of 9.

What happened in Colorado? Easy, people moved here from out of state. Some from California, some from Texas, some from the midwest, many looking for mountains and the outdoors. As Colorado grew it became blue.

But is Colorado an outlier? No.

Other examples like Colorado include Georgia, Arizona, and Nevada, all of which have begun to turn from red to purple, if not blue. But none of those states matter so much, where the GOP needs to be concerned, is Texas.

The Lone Star State is poised to become the next big battleground state and if the GOP loses control of it, well, say goodbye to the presidency.

Texas, with 40 electoral votes is the foundation of the Republican path to victory. The GOP cannot win without it.

The problem for Republicans is that as Texas is growing it is becoming younger and more diverse. This is at the same time that the GOP is moving farther to the right. So while the biggest Republican state is becoming more liberal, the GOP is alienating the very people who they need to gain in order to hold on.

As a result, we may see Texas vote blue for the first time since 1976.

But that is not all.

The GOP's next biggest state? Florida? It is also not a red lock at this point. Has it tilted red in the last few elections? Sure. But Florida also has a history of moving between political parties. Remember Obama won here twice.

So, in the next 10 years, we may see the GOP lose not only Texas but Florida too, there is no coming back from that.

Unless…

Republicans join with Democrats to get rid of the Electoral College.

The National Popular Vote Compact is an agreement between many Democratic-led states to give the Electoral College votes from their state to whoever wins the popular vote.

In other words, it is a creative workaround that would ensure that the popular vote is what elects the president. Once the Electoral Votes of the states that join reach 270 then it will be likely that the popular vote will decide the presidency. Currently, the compact has 195 votes, needing just 75 more.

At the moment, it seems like this bill would benefit only Democrats, but as I elaborated on earlier, Republicans may not have a way forward in the coming years through the EC. They simply will not have the votes as large red states turn blue.

However, by getting rid of the antiquated Electoral College the Republicans can make sure that Republican votes count in EVERY state. Look at it this way, in 2020 over 5 million Californians voted for Trump which was more than in any other state. How many EC votes did he get in CA? 0

If the GOP got rid of the Electoral College, then suddenly those votes matter. It is a game-changer because, if enacted, the GOP would be rewarded for running up totals in their strongholds but they wouldn’t have to rely on Texas or Florida alone to hold down the fort, so to speak. It would give them more options.

It would make elections more competitive, and in 10 years that may benefit the GOP as winning through the current system may become impossible.

Here is the problem.

The GOP will not support anything that Democrats support. They lack the foresight to see that the EC is going to become harder and harder for them to win as states become younger and more diverse.

The reality is that in the big blue states, like California and New York, the Democrats are solidly and clearly in control receiving over 60% of the vote in those states.

They aren’t going anywhere any time soon.

This means that the Democrats can consolidate funding and resources into Florida, into Texas, and deliver a haymaker that will knock the GOP out of contention for the presidency, permanently.

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My mission is to provide a unique viewpoint on the world and local events. I will be providing you with up-to-date news and insights from Colorado specifically in the Denver area. I also enjoy writing articles on education, writing, and other niche topics.

Arvada, CO
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