Is Frank Reich’s job in jeopardy with a loss on Sunday?
Derek Dietz @OriginalMrDietz
It is fantastic to have the Chargers game in the rear-view mirror, but another quality opponent awaits in the Indianapolis Colts. The Colts are off to a disappointing 0-1-1 start. Needing a 17-point rally to tie the Texans in a 20-20 finish in week one, and a shellacking of 24-0 by the Jaguars, the Colts are in desperation mode. Sadly, for them, the Chiefs roll into town for their home opener.
Owner Jim Irsay has let it be known that he thinks the Colts have everything in place to win the division and get to the Super Bowl. It goes without saying that Frank Reich and Chris Ballard will probably have an unpleasant phone call with Mr. Irsay this week. Matt Ryan looks terrible thru two games- 1 TD, 4 picks, 7 sacks, and a meager 63.9 ratings. Conversely, Carson Wentz has 650 yards, 7 TD, 3 picks, and a 100.3 rating. The Colts have looked astonishingly bad in quarters 1 thru 3, mustering a paltry 3 points in those 6 quarters. The consensus #1 fantasy football pick, Jonathon Taylor, has put up decent numbers, but that does not matter when you are playing from behind.
In 2021, if the Colts won at Jacksonville in week 17, they were in the playoffs. They lost. They still could have gotten in the backdoor of the playoffs with some scenarios, but the Steelers won and went on to play the Chiefs. Coupling the finish of 2021 to the start of 2022, this has to be a must win game for the Indianapolis Colts. With a loss, HC Frank Reich will be the most prominent coach in the league to be on the hot seat. Matt Rhule isn’t far behind, but Carolina doesn’t have any realistic chance to win or compete in the NFC South. GM Chris Ballard will also start feeling the heat from inside the building and from National Media outlets.
Prior to the loss at Jacksonville on Sunday, the Chiefs were -3.5 favorites heading into week 3. During the IND-JAX game, the betting line jumped to KC -6.5, which is dramatic (especially in the NFL). That jump indicates what the sharp money thinks about the Colts.
It is this writer’s opinion that the Chiefs had an extra 3 nights to prep for the Colts, and Andy Reid is excellent at game planning on a long week. Pair that with the absolute absent pass rush the Colts put on Trevor Lawrence, this should be a victory for the Chiefs. If they could not get Trevor Lawrence off his spot, imagine what Mahomes could do to them. I predict the Chiefs will do enough to win. It is hard to predict a shutout or less than a 10-point performance in the NFL, so I will give them more than 14 points against KC’s young, fast defense. Hopefully, the Chief's pass rushers can get home for 3-5 sacks this game, and make Matt Ryan think about retiring. I believe the Colts will rip off a few wins with an exceedingly odd schedule (google it), but that will have to wait a week.
Game prediction: Chiefs 28, Colts 17.