Beach Hazards Statement in Effect for Southern Florida

Bryan Dijkhuizen

High pressure ridging continues to develop north of the region, resulting in gusty Southeastern flow today.

Winds will drop late this afternoon/evening, although they may continue high along the Space and Treasure coasts for a short period of time, gusting up to 10-15 mph, before diminishing much more late in the night.

Overall, it's still dry, with evening low temperatures in the 60s, except L70s around the immediate shore and barrier islands.

The Southeastern flow has created a strong northward-flowing alongshore current, which has resulted in rough surf and a Moderate danger of life-threatening rip currents at region beaches as a result of the storm. In the meanwhile, a Beach Hazards Statement is in force.

Suffocating mid-level ridging continues to be experienced as it moves farther south through the Bahamas and Florida Straits. The surface ridge axis will gradually dip southward and over the middle peninsula.

In turn, this will encourage a Southeastern/Southern flow over the region, with speeds ranging from 7 to 12 mph across the interior and 10-15 mph around the shore. The southerly flow will maintain temperatures far above average, with L80s along the coast and M-U80s over the interior.

Although the number of PoPs has grown by 20-40 percent over the region on Monday, the maximum number of PoPs may actually occur in the evening owing to boundary collisions over the interior and push-back toward the coast during the evening.

As an amplified mid-upper level trough over the central United States drifts eastward and ultimately pushes a stalled front to the north into Florida, the pattern will remain unstable until late this week and early next weekend.

The GFS and the ECMWF are still at odds over the general timing of this frontal passage, with the GFS pushing the boundary through early Saturday morning, while the ECMWF moves it through late Saturday afternoon.

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