Warm and dry weather seems to be in the forecast for today. Only minimal changes were made to the forecast for today.
Because of early and stronger starts to the winds in sections of Larimer and Weld's counties bordering Wyoming, the wind speed in those areas has been increased a little.
Because available CAMs only forecast high temperatures in the low 60s throughout the plains, the maximum temperatures were dropped by a degree or two.
The expected high is still on the upper end of ensemble guidance. The forecast high is presently hovering around the 75th percentile, down from the 90th percentile earlier.
Today's primary source of worry will be gusty winds in the mountains, which have been escalated to severe danger to fires in the foothills and plains throughout the region.
Cross-sections indicate cross barrier flow of 35-50kt throughout the day today, which means more significant gusts of 40-60 mph will be seen over higher mountains and exposed east slopes on a few occasions.
With upper-level high pressure diminishing over the region and a moderate to strong west to southwesterly flow aloft over Colorado, Thursday will serve as a transitional day.
This trend should bring gusty winds throughout the upper ranges and foothills, with snow showers forming during the afternoon as moisture from the west accumulates in the atmosphere, and the atmosphere cools. Dry and moderate weather is likely to prevail farther east over the plains.
Winter storm conditions are expected to worsen Thursday evening. They persist through Saturday morning, with significant snowfall anticipated in the Northern Park and Gore Ranges, as well as the Medicine Bow Range and Rocky Mountain National Park.
The amount of snow that falls in these places might vary between 10 and 20 inches in total.