Because of a very deep cutoff low off the Pacific coast, much subtropical moisture is being drawn poleward into the area. Still, unfortunately, this moisture is merely creating a bank of high cirrus that is going over western and central New Mexico today.
Temperatures will be far above average, with highs reaching the low to mid-50s in western and central New Mexico and the low to mid-60s in the eastern plains, where afternoon winds will be brisk to occasionally windy.
Wednesday will be the same as Tuesday, except for a reduction in cloud cover. With another round of afternoon breezy to locally windy weather in the highlands and eastern plains, high temperatures are expected to rise to 15F-20F above average this week.
Beginning on Thursday, a series of storms will strike New Mexico. With the help of these storms, a trough of low pressure will form along the west coast, with storms ejecting out of the trough and traveling east and northeast.
There are plenty of opportunities for moisture to accumulate across New Mexico late this week, throughout the holiday weekend, and even into the following week.
The western and central zones will get the most of the precipitation, with the eastern zones receiving little or no precipitation during this time. Rain and higher mountain snow will occur intermittently during the first week of January.
It will be difficult to keep track of the time of the individual small waves as they move out of the main trough. In addition to rain and snow, we will see breezy to windy weather periods.
With strong, too high, destructive winds forecast for later Thursday night through Friday, the windiest phase is still expected to occur later Thursday night through Friday.
With no back door cold fronts hitting the east, temperatures will generally be above average for the rest of the week and into next. For the holiday weekend, temperatures in western parts will be close to average.