100 days to go. Can Beto beat Abbott for Texas Gov?

Ash Jurberg

Beto O'rourke and Greg AbbottImages from WikiCommons images

In just 100 days, Texans will choose between current Texas Gov Greg Abbott and his Democrat opponent Beto O'Rourke.

While Abbott has been a strong favorite over the last year, Beto has slowly clawed back the gap. And he is now raising more funds than Abbott, "raising $27.6 million from late February through June, which is the most a candidate for state office in Texas has ever raised in a single reporting period."

The key to Beto's strategy has been his 49-day drive across Texas, a 5,600 miles road trip with 70 public events in every part of Texas this summer. In addition, Beto is visiting small towns that don't often receive visits from candidates and attemptng to leverage their dissatisfaction with Abbott on key issues.

"There's a big opening; there's real dissatisfaction after Uvalde, after the trigger law on abortion, with the power grid, with property taxes going up 40%. Nowhere is it more clear than in small towns in Texas, which have seen the cost of Abbott." Beto spokesperson Chris Evans

And it may be Republican voters that Beto is appealing to, according to Newsweek:

"In a state like Texas, which has voted for Republican governors for the last 27 years and has large swaths of conservative and rural areas, political observers say O'Rourke can't win without drawing out some "Republicans for Beto," as well as independent voters."

On the other hand, Greg Abbott seems to be relying on dissatisfaction amongst Texans with President Biden.

First and foremost, those [social] issues won’t overcome the reality of Biden’s economy and when you ask Texans what are their biggest issues, their answers are inflation, the economy and the border. Those are issues that have been around forever. The lines have been drawn … and I don’t see significant movement either way ” Dennis Bonnen, former Texas House speaker

While betting on elections isn't allowed at U.S. sportsbooks, many betting agencies in Europe offer Europeans the opportunity to bet on who will win the November election for Texas Governor. Popular U.K. betting agency William Hill as Abbott at the odds of 1/10 to win the election. Placing a winning $1 bet would net you just $1.10. On the flip side, Beto is at the odds of 6/1. So a $1 winning bet would net you $6.

The margin has been narrowing, so it promises to be an interesting election in Texas.

Readers, what do you think?

Can Beto win and be the first Texan Democrat Governor for 27 years? Or will Abbott win a third term?

Please leave your comments below.

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