Prescott, AZ

Severe Weather Statement Issued for Phoenix, Prescott, and Payson Forecast Zones with Severe Thunderstorm Watch Friday

Arizona Weather Force
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Arizona Weather Force has issued a Severe Weather Statement for the Phoenix, Prescott, and Payson forecast zones.  This Severe Weather Statement is the second to final stage in issuing a Severe Thunderstorm Watch, usually issued the day before the main event is expected so read on for details if you are in those areas.

Friday's dynamics in the statement area will make today look like child's play, especially for Prescott / Chino Valley.  I am still expecting storms in the metros today and that article is here, but I will be giving you a heads up on Friday -

A classic Mogollon Rim event is being monitored here at Arizona Weather Force.  An event like this is when northeasterly flow off the Mogollon Rim is strong enough to send strong outflow boundaries southwest into the metro areas, which typically have more instability due to being hotter in the low levels.   

On Friday, I am expecting the ridge of high pressure to be centered over Central California.  This, with an upper-level low to the south will combine forces and sandwich the statement areas above in-between air-masses.  This will develop storms along the Mogollon Rim and then the storms will shove southwestward.  Damaging winds will be the main factor within this, but some will contain larger hail at times.  

I am keeping the areas south of Central Pinal County out of this due to the southerly flow influence of the low to the south that would block any activity from moving due west.  This is a complex atmosphere, but the magenta color in the article image is the main zone I expect.  There is a chance it will target Northern Maricopa County more than southern, but all in all this will be the coup de grace in this rare week of storms that have hit the region.

Arizona Weather Force will look into the pattern tomorrow (Friday) morning and if needed, this statement will upgrade to the final official Severe Thunderstorm Watch so stay tuned.

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- Raiden Storm -

Master General Meteorologist – is a consulting meteorologist with over 25 years' experience for over 50 different companies, including energy, agriculture, aviation, marine, leisure, and many more areas. He has certs from Mississippi State for broadcast met and Penn State forecasting certs MET 101, 241, 341 and 361 as a meteorologist, but before then was completely self-taught, barely learning a thing from the schools that he did not already know.

Both short and long-range is very important to know in those jobs so you can bet on accuracy here. He is versed in fields like Western USA, Tornadoes, Floods, Hurricanes, High Winds, Fire Behavior, Snow and Blizzards, Short Range, Long Range, Seasonal, and Life-Threatening decisions with over 25 years' experience, out forecasting all weather services available today with lead-time and precision, which makes him a focus of ridicule and envy.

NOTE: Alerts are posted on here, be it a tornado watch, etc, and these alerts are issued from this office and nowhere else. At times, which is often, you will see an alert forecast posted on here that you do not see elsewhere.

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