There are no indications that New York's fertility rate will stop declining. A 13% decrease from a decade earlier, 210,742 babies were born in New York in 2021, according to figures from the state's Department of Public Health.
The average number of children a woman would bear over the course of her lifetime if current trends hold. The rate fell from 1.85 in New York in 2009 to 1.55 in 2021.
According to demographer Leslie Reynolds, a researcher at Cornell University's Jeb E. Brooks School of Public Policy, this data frequently serves as a predictor of societal patterns or historical occurrences.
For instance, Reynolds does not think it is a coincidence that the COVID-19 shutdowns coincided with New York's fertility rate falling to its lowest point in twenty years.
Demographer Leslie Reynolds' Research At Cornell University
She said, Choosing to have kids is often based on the resources that you have, and that in 2020 and 2021, prospective parents were probably working from home and extended families were frequently geographically divided.
After examining demographic data, Reynolds stated that a significant drop in fertility for women between the ages of 20 and 29 was one of the major shifts since 2001. Women over 35 experienced a rise in rates at the same time.
Women In Rockland, Jefferson, And Orange Counties Have A Great TRF
She claimed that considering the long-standing social norm of households with two working parents, delaying the beginning of a family is not unusual.
The most recent year for which county data were available was 2020, and the total fertility rate for Monroe County was 1.55.
Women in Rockland, Jefferson, and Orange counties in New York have the greatest TFR, while those in Manhattan, Otsego, and Tompkins counties have the lowest.